Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.193598 0.228366 0.267109 0.313416 0.367189 0.427597 0.500533
2024-12-15 0.142732 0.188736 0.245591 0.320722 0.417071 0.536126 0.694007
2024-12-22 0.108997 0.157931 0.223593 0.317495 0.447571 0.620511 0.866812
2024-12-29 0.090232 0.141090 0.214145 0.325614 0.490018 0.721880 1.071492
2025-01-05 0.074224 0.124202 0.200454 0.323622 0.515491 0.800261 1.251246
2025-01-12 0.060990 0.108609 0.185373 0.315946 0.529619 0.861574 1.410755
2025-01-19 0.050409 0.095134 0.171018 0.306402 0.538191 0.913615 1.559822
2025-01-26 0.044628 0.088753 0.167137 0.313070 0.573151 1.010187 1.789123
2025-02-02 0.039478 0.082520 0.162379 0.317152 0.603559 1.101642 2.018592
2025-02-09 0.034780 0.076268 0.156519 0.318125 0.628046 1.184781 2.241417
2025-02-16 0.031205 0.071602 0.152875 0.322532 0.658922 1.281710 2.497564
2025-02-23 0.028899 0.069171 0.153202 0.334543 0.705306 1.410970 2.824629
2025-03-02 0.024962 0.062577 0.144250 0.326981 0.713198 1.470501 3.030235
2025-03-09 0.022406 0.058675 0.140426 0.329619 0.742054 1.573436 3.330207
2025-03-16 0.019676 0.053841 0.133797 0.325194 0.755484 1.646974 3.579122
2025-03-23 0.018137 0.051664 0.132851 0.333237 0.796429 1.780039 3.960843
2025-03-30 0.016168 0.048000 0.127833 0.331142 0.814589 1.867234 4.255428
2025-04-06 0.014145 0.043792 0.120825 0.323285 0.818571 1.924304 4.491116
2025-04-13 0.012302 0.039712 0.113487 0.313530 0.816801 1.968334 4.702236
2025-04-20 0.011423 0.038260 0.112757 0.320343 0.855486 2.106362 5.134500
2025-04-27 0.010522 0.036561 0.111102 0.324513 0.888110 2.233533 5.553550
2025-05-04 0.009593 0.034593 0.108401 0.325508 0.912817 2.344481 5.945029
2025-05-11 0.008880 0.033176 0.107048 0.330010 0.947058 2.481251 6.409364